THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE AS PART OF THE PROBLEM

I’ve previously posted about my belief that the Electoral College should be abolished. My primary reason is that the archaic institution makes possible the election of a U.S. president by a mere 25 percent of the voters, at least in theory. All it would take is winning 50 percent of the ballots plus one in states representing a tad over 50 percent of the population – and that’s in a two-way race. This time around, with four nominees to choose from, the popular vote could be far less.

The Electoral College also creates an outsized importance for the 11 biggest states: California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and New Jersey. Win them all and you’re the next president.  If you’re following the news these days, you see how that strategy is unfolding.

The existence of the Electoral College is casting other shadows across the current election season. Quite simply, it rigs the contest against third-party nominees and, as a consequence, reinforces the existing two-party system.

How is that? Well, unless a third-party candidate can carry a state, his or her popular votes simply disappear in the Electoral College results. And that’s for starters. In the unlikely event a third-party could drain off enough Electoral College votes to force the decision to be rendered by the U.S. House of Representatives, we can assume the outcome would reflect the majority party there. In this case, the party of Speaker Paul Ryan.

Rely instead on the popular vote and you automatically remove the House from consideration. You might also get a fairer representation of those votes over a majority in the biggest states, especially – under the current system, they’re essentially superfluous.

Third-party campaigns might find it easier to appeal to voters who would otherwise back the loser in a two-way race – especially if they might expect their selection to add to victories in other states in the final tally. It’s a long shot, I know, but it might foster some realignment in a situation like the one we’re facing.

For now, I’m seeing the Electoral College as a wall holding the major parties upright.

LOOKING FOR THE WIZARD OF OZ ANEW, BACK IN KANSAS

Governor Sam Brownback and his Kansas colleagues are demonstrating how bankrupt their conservative ideology proves in practice. It’s a disastrous experiment. When will the GOP realize those theories really are voodoo?

Maybe they’ll find a philanthropic billionaire to bail out the Cornhusker state. One who would say, “Here, rather than a campaign donation, I’ll aim my PAC at cleaning up the mess you’ve made.”

Or just buy it up in the impending fire sale. It might make a nice ranch for the weekend.

Just don’t ask about the soaring price of wheat that would follow.

SCUTTLING THE REST OF US, TOO

I keep reflecting on a blog posting by a woman who admitted backing Trump, not because she thought he could do anything to help her but simply because she wanted to say to hell with everyone and everything else. Whatever had caused her to wind up where she is in life, she’s blaming the rest of us and hoping to take us down into the depths with her. If only she could see how much worse the consequences would be for her, too – or the fact we’d have absolutely no sympathy for her in the toxic aftermath.

I’m not so liberal to bail her out, believe me.

HILLARY’S BIG CHANCE

“Just Shut It Down,” as the Huffington Post headlined its link to the New York Times report on the Clinton Foundation’s international dealings. As the Times’ investigation published this weekend explained, “Foundation Ties Bedevil Hillary Clinton’s Presidential Campaign.”

Well, we are bound to controversy arising from a conflux of money, sexual rights, and power here, one way or another, even if the Clintons weren’t involved. Big finances are typically a touchy and often tangled subject. Still, no matter how noble some of its causes or programs, the foundation casts an inky shadow on Hillary’s presidential ambitions as a result of the potential political access its large donors may gain in return for their largess. It’s especially troubling when the contributors are nations the State Department has criticized for their records on sex discrimination and other civil rights issues.

The Clintons are likely to get nowhere in their attempts to justify their decisions and actions regarding the foundation. Explanations will simply fuel more suspicions. Best to break the ties, now – fast. Do it right, and Hillary will look statesmanlike. Besides, she’d be daring Trump to do something equally as brave and self-effacing, knowing full well he won’t or can’t. One move and she’d break free from the controversy, make its contentions past history, show she can make a bold move as a declaration of freedom and trustworthiness. Her critics would be reduced to pitiful whimpering.

Besides, now that the Clintons are free from their legal debts inflicted by the Republicans’ impeachment efforts, Bill and Hillary don’t really need the income, do they? They should be well off as is, especially if they return to the White House residence early next year.

I have no idea of the mechanics involved in shutting down a foundation or transferring its assets, but there must be guidelines. Let’s keep our eyes open for the upcoming stories.

REVIEWING THE BUMPY TRUMPY HORROR SHOW

During the presidential primary run, his Republican rivals had reason to complain that Donald J. Trump was garnering all of the coverage. It was, as it turns out, all about him, mostly from his point of view, that is, largely unquestioned. From a headline perspective, their problem was simply that they weren’t saying or doing anything new, meaning reporters and editors had nothing fresh to report on those candidates and their campaigns. A policy statement, let’s be candid, is news just once, when it’s released. Trump, in contrast, was providing outrageous grist for the mill – he was a truly unconventional, unpredictable, and unkempt subject. To their everlasting remorse, his opponents failed to take him on full-force, much less seriously, which would have at least landed them comparable headline presence. If they had only done their homework, they would have had many of the factual details that are finally coming to light against Trump and his ways. Gee, the recent New York Times report about Chris Christie’s forgiving Trump $25 million in overdue state taxes could have taken down two candidates at once, had Jeb Bush or Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio or any of the other dwarves been on their toes.

News media coverage is not the only route to primary victories, by the way. Most of the Republicans were relying on very expensive direct-mail advertising flyers, at least from what we endured in New Hampshire. You may have read some of my household’s reactions.

In contrast, on the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders was gaining ground by flying under the radar, sticking to a successful script that included little new material while hammering his points home in speech after speech. He was certainly helped by strong organization and a vibrant (dare I say organic?) grassroots social media presence.

When Nacky Scripps Loeb was publisher of the New Hampshire Union Leader, she liked to quote her late husband’s adage than negative publicity was better than no coverage at all.  I know the basis of the argument, especially for an upstart, but I’ve also seen its downside: sometimes the attacks really inflict damage.

You didn’t hear Trump complaining about the billions of “free media” exposure he got on his ascent, but maybe none of his inner circle could see it would eventually come with a price.

My, has it!

We find ourselves waking in the morning with an obsession to discover the latest. It’s not just the New York Times or Washington Post, either. Team Trump has been stimulating a stunning parade of  splashy tabloid headlines, from the New York Daily News to the Huffington Post and Politico. Done well, there’s an art to these, I’ll confess with admiration. Not that my journalistic training or practice ran in that direction.

Almost every day now has delivered a new, well, Trumpage that stirs up the question, Is he really trying to lose? Is he even running on Hillary’s behalf? In the latest round, the pundits are sensing his new strategy is to circle the wagons and focus on his core supporters while hoping the Libertarian and Green parties erode enough votes from Clinton to give him an edge. As they acknowledge, it’s a very risky approach, especially for someone who may be recognizing he’s really losing.

Step back from the daily revelations and you can see Trump’s bigger story is fitting into a classic type of fiction or biography or history – a rise-and-fall epic of tragic proportions. (Remember, true tragedy is what happens when a character challenges the gods and bears the consequences.)

In American literature, Scott Fitzgerald’s The Great Gatsby or Herman Melville’s Moby-Dick come immediately to my mind, along with Peter Matthiessen’s less conventional Killing Mister Watson, which opens with the well-earned finale for a character who has a lot in common with Trump.

The Trumpster provides plenty to focus on as a character-driven story, especially of the psychological nature. He’s a spoiled bully full of inner conflict, anger, bombast, self-delusion, insecurity, social-climbing, hostility, and more, all abetted by the proverbial silver spoon.

There are other classic structures the story could also develop, including the idea novel, which starts with a question; the event tale, where the world is out of order and demands correcting; or the milieu narrative, which would require the protagonist to emerge a new person after traversing the strange landscape of American politics, big business, and celebrity entertainment posturing.

Each day, we’re reading and hearing more bits of the unfolding story.

Now into the post-convention stretch of the White House quest, Trump is still the primary subject of the media coverage. This time, though, as the plot line is well into the “fall” half of the equation, it’s been to Hillary Clinton’s advantage to be flying under the radar. Are we watching a death by a thousand self-inflicted wounds? Are all of his previous falsehoods, fraudulence, and flatulence finally resurrecting and running up behind him, like monsters from a horror show?

We’re still quite a few pages away from the final pages, and it’s possible Trump will somehow pivot into a new, unanticipated, denouement. Deus ex machina would be a huge letdown, to say the least, as would anything having him live happily ever after.

Not after all this.

EVIDENCE OF GROWING DESPERATION

One of my criticisms of third parties in American politics is their targeting the top office in the land, rather than the steps that lead to it, and then running candidates with little or no experience in public office for the job.

A crucial part of that experience, we should note, comes in campaigning itself. Can a candidate deliver a consistent message, face the voters, manage a staff, build an organization, raise funds, face criticism? It’s all stuff that will be needed once in office when addressing the details of legislation and governmental budgeting and management.

Little did I expect the Republican Party to find itself taken hostage by this situation when Donald J. Trump captured the nomination. Put simply, his lack of experience is showing in what may be fatal ways.

Yes, the GOP is fielding a full slate of candidates, but it’s lost control at the top.

Trump is a first-timer with no previous political resume, apart from the bribes he made all along disguised as campaign donations. This morning’s New York Times tells of one consequence of those connections – New Jersey’s attempt to collect $30 million in overdue taxes from Trump’s failed casinos, at least until Chris Christie stepped in and reduced it to a $5 million settlement. Sound familiar? And that’s Trump’s “law and order” ideal? It’s more like picking the pocket of every man, woman, and child in the Garden State for $3 apiece. That, or just an extra tax burden for that amount. You can bet it’s hardly the only example of his mode of operation, as we’ll no doubt be reading in the weeks ahead.

It’s no way to run a government, for certain. Or, for that matter, a long-term business. And as for Trump, if we can believe his bravado, the $25 million would have been pocket change.

Is Trump the Chump a fitting label? You can see who picked up the debt.

~*~

The New Jersey story, mind you, is only No. 2 on the day’s Trump news cycle. The bigger report is on his latest campaign staff shakeup, demoting Paul Manafort and naming conservative website operator Steve Bannon as his drive’s CEO and promoting Kellyanne Conway as its manager. She’s expected to travel with him, whether to fire him up or keep him on a leash remains to be seen. As for experience in running a campaign? Bannon has none, while Conway’s been a Republican pollster. Neither, apparently, has done ground-level organization work.

The moves can be seen as a reaction for Trump to retool in a more focused and restrained manner – or else. As the Washington Post is reporting, Bannon had been urging Trump to ignore those who want him to tone it down. So you can expect the outrageous statements to escalate. Remember when Sarah Palin “went rogue”? Oh, my.

Trump’s response, then, is defiance, reflecting his inflexible nature and inability to adapt to challenges. Yes-men who tell the boss what he wants to hear are always a danger in an enterprise. “Iceberg? What iceberg?” as the mate would have told the captain of the Titanic.

As for the Republicans, the appointment of the controversial Bannon, known for his disgust at both parties, could be final straw. The GOP may have to cut and run after all. As I was saying about third parties? In addition, those party loyalists who have been sticking with Trump while hoping for something to improve may find they’ve waited too long to bail. How long will the stigma stick?

This is really getting messy. Who would have anticipated this plot line?

THE FACT IS HE’S VICTIMIZING HIS BACKERS MOST OF ALL

Contrary to the claims of his stubbornly diehard followers, Donald J. Trump has not been “telling it like it is.” Instead, his blustery tirades are so chock full of factual errors, lies, half-lies, fabrications, utter fictions – offenses he flippantly dismisses as “sarcasm” and “jokes” – that it’s now safe to assume that everything out of his mouth and his campaign staff is utter hokum until proven otherwise.

Just look at the odds of his saying anything backed up by substantiated numbers, history, or public documents. The blatant disregard for truth – moral and empirical – manifested by the nominee and his entourage means that we can trust nothing they say or do.

And that’s before we get to the now predictable routine of clarifications, denials, and reiterations of any Trump whopper – something the Huffington Post has identified as The 9 Stages of a Trump Statement: It takes time to drain what you say of any meaning.

And what’s his response to anyone who questions his delusional taradiddle or deflates it with hard-and-true reality? He accuses them of being biased against him, rigging the outcome, having ethnic impurities – anything but taking the blame himself when his immature decisions and outbursts backfire, as they inevitably will. What he really wants, of course, is for everything to be biased and rigged in his own favor – nothing fair or just or equitable at all. It’s the spoiled little brat many Americans are recognizing as Trump. Remember the classmate who hadn’t studied for the test or done last night’s homework? Remember the scampering to hem-and-haw around the question? When’s the last time you’ve even seen him answer a question, rather than evade it? Remember, when it comes to cheating, he’s a pro, if you look at his business record or the legal cases already decided against him. Con-artist, indeed.

He might be venting the pain of many of his core backers, but their economic and social distress is not his gilded situation in life – he just has the huckster’s instincts in knowing who to victimize for his own advantage, as long as he can. And then? It will all simply blow up in smoke. You know, a joke, just don’t expect a refund, folks, you got your show. So where does he stand in all this, where’s the backbone and rectitude? Who knows, he’s so busy contradicting himself, believe me. You wouldn’t want a mechanic working on your car or a contractor renovating your house to be so oblivious to facts and accountability. That’s just one more reason he won’t release his income-tax filings, by the way.

Looks like Trump’s running against Trump, and both are losing.

~*~

As the pleas by Republican operatives and insiders keep mounting for a reset on Trump’s campaign (among them the conservative Wall Street Journal’s stinging editorial warning released Sunday night), we’ve heard no one admit that one item cannot be redialed at this point: Trump’s credibility. (It’s like virginity, as he would taunt others. Or a reputation as a slut.) Even his spokesperson Katrina Pierson, who’s supposed to give reporters access to reliable information, has turned into a joke – just look up the social media treatment she’s provoked. Put another way, she’s toast or another widely repeated punch line.

Whatever leeway the average American might offer in regard to sincerity or effort or even “white lies” kindness from a candidate has long ago been transgressed. More and more, Trump’s the kid you steer away from in the playground or on the street. He’s earned a bad rep, one that will taint everything he says or does from here on out. Want to talk about a tailspin? The facts will keep piling up, from many fronts, now that the chase is on.

~*~

In the deluge of Trump’s hogwash, I’m astonished that right-wing Christian leaders stick with him, considering their widespread acknowledgement of Satan as the author of lies. How can you defend someone openly practicing that craft? Crucially, when Jesus faces something similar in proclaiming Truth, he retorts: “Why do you not understand what I say? It is because you cannot bear to hear my word. You are of … the devil … He was a murderer from the beginning, and has nothing to do with the truth, because there is no truth in him. When he lies, he speaks according to his own nature, for he is a liar and the father of lies” (John 8:43-45, RSV).

And you’re going to say Jesus was joking? To think, lies are a form of murder.

LUCKY WINNER

As I said at the time, back in the days before those e-mails from Nigeria or other wealthy countries filled my spam filter:

I’d just received another three or four packages in the mail informing me I’m the lucky winner of prizes worth millions and millions of dollars if I only respond promptly.

What I still want to know is why these folks get the cheap third-class mailing rate — the one that costs about a third of what children have to pay to send correspondence to their pen pals or their grandparents.

If they’re so fabulously rich that they can offer to give such wealth away, why don’t they relieve the U.S. Postal Service of some of its burden—rather than piling on it? From the looks of it, they should be able to deliver by Express Mail — or even come directly to our doorsteps.

Or is that why it’s called third class?

(As I said then:) The postal rate increases are so reflective of federal government thinking these days. It’s another case of soaking the average citizen and giving the richest clients the biggest breaks.

Very truly yours …